Major League Soccer

Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Ngoma (41', 41'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (45+2' pen., 45+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 4-2)

Bamba (32', 32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: New England 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Montreal
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for Chicago Fire has a probability of 23.69% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win is 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
52.94% ( 0.07)	23.38% ( 0.08)	23.69% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.96% (

-0.47)

45.04% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.61% (

-0.46)

67.39% (

0.46)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

-0.15)

16.99% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.9% (

-0.27)

47.1% (

0.26)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98% (

-0.38)

33.02% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39% (

-0.43)

69.61% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 52.94%

Chicago Fire 23.69%

Draw 23.37%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.69%