Major League Soccer

Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
Toronto

Forsberg (44' pen., 76')
Ngoma (74'), Carballo (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kerr (70')
Longstaff (24'), Bernardeschi (45+4'), Petretta (45+4'), Etienne (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Orlando City
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Chicago Fire
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	Toronto
58.32% ( 0.07)	22.5% ( -0.03)	19.17% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.24% (

0.07)

46.76% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98% (

0.07)

69.02% (

-0.06)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.28% (

0.05)

15.72% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.19% (

0.09)

44.8% (

-0.09)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.62% (

-0)

38.38% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.87% (

-0)

75.13% (

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 58.31%

Toronto 19.17%

Draw 22.5%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.31%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.5%	0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.17%