Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 38.98% ( | 24.93% ( | 36.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.59% ( | 45.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( | 67.73% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( | 23.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( | 56.96% ( |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( | 24.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.82% ( | 59.17% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.08% |