Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.