CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 12, 2025 at 2.30am UK

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
3 - 1
Cincinnati

(Tigres win 4-2 on aggregate)

Herrera (64', 64'), Brunetta (69', 69'), Ibanez (72', 72')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Evander (18', 18')
Yedlin (62'), Yedlin (62'), Engel (83'), Engel (83')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Tigres and FC Cincinnati.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Tigres 1-0 Queretaro
Saturday, March 8 at 1am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Cincinnati

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	FC Cincinnati
51.96% ( 0.12)	23.35% ( 0)	24.69% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 56.82% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.04% (

-0.13)

43.96% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.66% (

-0.13)

66.35% (

0.13)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-0)

16.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97% (

-0)

47.03% (

0.01)

FC Cincinnati Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.42% (

-0.17)

31.59% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.01% (

-0.2)

67.99% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Tigres 51.96%

FC Cincinnati 24.69%

Draw 23.35%

Tigres	Draw	FC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.96%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.69%