Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.