FC Cincinnati
CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
TQL Stadium
Tigres

Cincinnati
1 - 1
Tigres

Bucha (3')
Denkey (54'), Hadebe (72'), Nwobodo (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ibanez (17')
Garcia (79')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between FC Cincinnati and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Tigres

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 Tigres
Sunday, March 2 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawTigres
40.7% (-0.347 -0.35)25.52% (0.085999999999999 0.09)33.78% (0.26 0.26)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.217 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58% (-0.314 -0.31)48.42% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (-0.288 -0.29)70.56% (0.288 0.29)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (-0.312 -0.31)23.58% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (-0.452 -0.45)57.64% (0.452 0.45)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.09% (0.012 0.01)62.9% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 40.7%
    Tigres 33.78%
    Draw 25.52%
FC CincinnatiDrawTigres
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.82% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.78%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Tigres

FC Cincinnati
50.0%
Draw
8.3%
Tigres
41.7%
12