Major League Soccer

Apr 19, 2025 at 6.45pm UK

Q2 Stadium

Austin
1 - 0
LA Galaxy

Vazquez (81')
Hines-Ike (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Parente (53'), Cerrillo (58'), Emiro Garces Torres (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Austin FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Vancouver 5-1 Austin
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Houston
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
47.13% ( -0.42)	23.9% ( 0.17)	28.96% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88% (

-0.61)

43.13% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48% (

-0.61)

65.53% (

0.61)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

-0.41)

18.47% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

-0.69)

49.67% (

0.69)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

-0.14)

27.94% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.44% (

-0.17)

63.56% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Austin FC 47.14%

Los Angeles Galaxy 28.96%

Draw 23.9%

Austin FC	Draw	Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.47% Total : 47.14%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.9%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.96%