Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
| 39.65% ( | 25.77% ( | 34.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( | 49.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( | 71.39% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( | 24.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( | 58.99% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( | 27.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( | 62.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.57% |