Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Austin FC |
| 57.02% ( | 22.81% ( | 20.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( | 46.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( | 68.95% ( |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.86% ( | 16.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.43% ( | 45.57% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( | 37.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( | 74.06% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 2-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 3-1 @ 6% ( 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 4-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 5-1 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.18% |