Vancouver Whitecaps
CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 3, 2025 at 2.30am UK
BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
1 - 1
Pumas

White (71')
Nelson (69'), Blackmon (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carrasquilla (87')
Suarez (81'), Ruvalcaba (90+7')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vancouver Whitecaps

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toronto 0-0 Vancouver
Saturday, March 29 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer

Pumas

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Club Leon 1-2 Pumas
Monday, March 31 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Pumas win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPumas
44.91% (0.39299999999999 0.39)24.57% (0.299 0.3)30.53% (-0.685 -0.68)
Both teams to score 57.43% (-1.395 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-1.674 -1.67)45.3% (1.68 1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-1.622 -1.62)67.64% (1.628 1.63)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.512 -0.51)20.27% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.831 -0.83)52.63% (0.836 0.84)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-1.276 -1.28)27.97% (1.282 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-1.657 -1.66)63.61% (1.664 1.66)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 44.91%
    Pumas 30.53%
    Draw 24.56%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawPumas
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.499 0.5)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 44.91%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.398 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.115 -0.11)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.53%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 3.30am
Round of 32
Vancouver
0-2
Pumas

Picault (69')
Huerta (36'), Ruvalcaba (57')