Major League Soccer

Apr 13, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
1 - 1
Houston

Fagundez (57')
Emiro Garces Torres (20'), Cerrillo (25')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ponce (14')
Dorsey (35'), Escobar (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Tigres 3-2 LA Galaxy
Wednesday, April 9 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 1-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 6 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Houston Dynamo
47.65% ( -0.06)	23.06% ( 0.05)	29.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.97% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.02% (

-0.22)

38.98% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.7% (

-0.23)

61.3% (

0.23)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33% (

-0.11)

16.67% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.46% (

-0.19)

46.53% (

0.19)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

-0.1)

25.63% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.48% (

-0.14)

60.52% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 47.65%

Houston Dynamo 29.28%

Draw 23.06%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.31% Total : 47.65%	1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.28%