Major League Soccer

Mar 16, 2025 at 12.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
1 - 2
Salt Lake

Ponce (16', 16')
Escobar (45+5'), Escobar (45+5'), Bartlow (58'), Bartlow (58'), Ponce (90+2'), Ponce (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Goncalves (1', 1'), Luna (45+5', 45+5')
Davis (45+8'), Davis (45+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Columbus Crew 0-0 Houston
Saturday, March 8 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-3 San Diego
Sunday, March 9 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
46.49% ( -0.43)	24.2% ( 0.08)	29.31% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 57.97% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74% (

-0.18)

44.26% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.36% (

-0.18)

66.64% (

0.18)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.81% (

-0.25)

19.18% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

-0.41)

50.86% (

0.41)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

0.14)

28.27% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

0.18)

63.98% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 46.49%

Real Salt Lake 29.31%

Draw 24.19%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.49%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.31%