Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 2.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Ariath Piol 17' goal
  • Ariath Piol 17' goal
  • Braian Ojeda 69' yellowcard
  • Braian Ojeda 69' yellowcard
  • Rafael Cabral 75' yellowcard
  • Rafael Cabral 75' yellowcard
  • Justen Glad 78' yellowcard
  • Justen Glad 78' yellowcard
  • goal Franco Negri 43'
  • goal Franco Negri 43'
  • yellowcard Jeppe Tverskov 77'
  • yellowcard Jeppe Tverskov 77'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+1'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+1'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+6'
  • goal Marcus Ingvartsen 90'+6'

Real Salt Lake vs San Diego - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 9.30pm
Salt Lake 2 - 0 Seattle
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Diego Luna

San Diego

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 2, 2025 3.30am
San Diego 0 - 0 St Louis City
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Anders Dreyer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 91.79%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 2.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.61%) and 2-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.86%), while for a San Diego win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result

Real Salt Lake 91.79% (-0.47)
Draw 6.04% (+0.34)
San Diego 2.17% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.63% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 78.55% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 21.45% (+1.17)
Over 3.5 59.87% (-1.64)
Under 3.5 40.13% (+1.64)
Over 4.5 40.4% (-1.73)
Under 4.5 59.6% (+1.73)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5 97.43% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 2.56% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 88.04% (-0.79)
Under 1.5 11.96% (+0.78)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 39.64% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 60.36% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 9.17% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 90.83% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Real Salt Lake 91.77%
Draw 6.04%
San Diego 2.17%
Real Salt Lake
3-0 @ 12.68% (+0.25)
4-0 @ 11.61% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 10.38% (+0.43)
5-0 @ 8.51% (-0.24)
3-1 @ 6.4% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 5.87% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 5.67% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 5.24% (+0.19)
6-0 @ 5.2% (-0.27)
5-1 @ 4.3% (-0.15)
7-0 @ 2.72% (-0.21)
6-1 @ 2.62% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 1.62% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.03)
7-1 @ 1.37% (-0.12)
8-0 @ 1.25% (-0.13)
5-2 @ 1.09% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 91.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 2.86% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 1.55% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 6.04%
San Diego
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 2.17%