Major League Soccer

Mar 9, 2025 at 2.30am UK

Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
1 - 3
San Diego

Piol (17', 17')
Ojeda (69'), Ojeda (69'), Cabral (75'), Cabral (75'), Glad (78'), Glad (78')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Negri (43', 43'), Dreyer (90+1', 90+1'), Ingvartsen (90+6', 90+6')
Tverskov (77'), Tverskov (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and San Diego, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Salt Lake 2-0 Seattle
Saturday, March 1 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

San Diego

All competitions

Last Game: San Diego 0-0 St Louis City
Sunday, March 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 91.79%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 2.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.61%) and 2-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.86%), while for a San Diego win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt Lake	Draw	San Diego
91.79% ( -0.46)	6.04% ( 0.33)	2.17% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 38.63% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.55% (

-1.17)

21.45% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.87% (

-1.64)

40.13% (

1.64)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.43% (

-0.21)

2.56% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.04% (

-0.78)

11.96% (

0.78)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.64% (

-0.19)

60.36% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.17% (

-0.1)

90.83% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Real Salt Lake 91.77%

San Diego 2.17%

Draw 6.04%

Real Salt Lake	Draw	San Diego
3-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.43) 5-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.19) 6-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 7-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.21) 6-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.11) 8-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.77% Total : 91.77%	1-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.31% Total : 6.04%	Other @ 2.17% Total : 2.17%