Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 91.79%. A draw had a probability of 6% and a win for San Diego had a probability of 2.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.61%) and 2-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.86%), while for a San Diego win it was 0-1 (0.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.