Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 52.74%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 52.74% ( | 22.39% ( | 24.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( | 39.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.31% ( | 61.69% ( |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% ( | 15.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.52% ( | 43.48% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( | 28.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( | 64.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Columbus Crew | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.99% Total : 52.74% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 2-2 @ 6% ( 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.34% Total : 24.87% |