Tigres
CONCACAF Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 9, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon
LA Galaxy

Tigres
3 - 2
LA Galaxy

Ibanez (9', 9'), Uriel (10', 10'), Zwarg (57', 57')
Gorriaran (38'), Gorriaran (38'), Guzman (60'), Guzman (60')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Paintsil (40', 40'), Emiro Garces Torres (60', 60')
Jorgensen (38'), Jorgensen (38'), Paintsil (74'), Paintsil (74')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Quarter-Finals clash between Tigres and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
TigresDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
60.14% (2.429 2.43)21.02% (-0.6 -0.6)18.84% (-1.827 -1.83)
Both teams to score 56.31% (-1.076 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.33% (0.055999999999997 0.06)40.67% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (0.058 0.06)63.05% (-0.058 -0.06)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (0.753 0.75)13.14% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.2% (1.505 1.51)39.8% (-1.505 -1.51)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-1.817 -1.82)35.18% (1.817 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (-1.949 -1.95)71.93% (1.949 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Tigres 60.14%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 18.84%
    Draw 21.02%
TigresDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.491 0.49)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.234 0.23)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.207 0.21)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.5 0.5)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.42% (0.196 0.2)
4-0 @ 3.27% (0.336 0.34)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.115 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 60.14%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.245 -0.25)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
0-1 @ 4.83% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 18.84%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2025 4.15am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
LA Galaxy
0-0
Tigres
Parente (58')
Angulo (57')
rhs 2.0


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