CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 6, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Independencia
Tigres

Real Estelí
1 - 0
Tigres

Grahl (83', 83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (15'), Garcia (15'), Imanol Ordonez Delgado (53'), Imanol Ordonez Delgado (53')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Real Estelí and Tigres.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Estelí

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: America 2-0 Real Estelí
Thursday, February 15 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Next Game: Tigres vs. Real Estelí
Thursday, February 13 at 3am in CONCACAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Tigres

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Tigres
Sunday, February 2 at 3.15am in Liga MX
Next Game: Tigres vs. Atlas
Sunday, February 9 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Real Estelí had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.72%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Real Estelí win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Real EstelíDrawTigres
16.48% (-0.26 -0.26)22.34% (-0.185 -0.18)61.18% (0.443 0.44)
Both teams to score 47.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78% (0.319 0.32)50.22% (-0.319 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.82% (0.282 0.28)72.18% (-0.28299999999999 -0.28)
Real Estelí Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.37% (-0.143 -0.14)43.62% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.19% (-0.116 -0.12)79.81% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Tigres Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.04% (0.259 0.26)15.95% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.76% (0.472 0.47)45.24% (-0.472 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Real Estelí 16.48%
    Tigres 61.17%
    Draw 22.34%
Real EstelíDrawTigres
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 4.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 16.48%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.34%
0-1 @ 12.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 11.72% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.17% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.057 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.29% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 61.17%