CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 13, 2025 at 2.30am UK

Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
4 - 1
Herediano

(Los Angeles Galaxy win 4-2 on aggregate)

Aude (30', 30'), Berry (38', 38'), Pec (53', 53'), Ramirez (76', 76')
Miller (35'), Miller (35')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Gonzalez (82', 82')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Herediano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 St Louis City
Sunday, March 9 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Herediano

All competitions

CONCACAF Champions League

Last Game: Herediano 1-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, March 6 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Herediano had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Herediano win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Herediano
62.96% ( 0.73)	19.63% ( -0.27)	17.41% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 58.4% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.4% (

0.44)

36.6% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

0.47)

58.75% (

-0.46)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.89% (

0.32)

11.11% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.48% (

0.7)

35.52% (

-0.69)

Herediano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-0.25)

34.3% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.27)

71% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy 62.96%

Herediano 17.41%

Draw 19.63%

Los Angeles Galaxy	Draw	Herediano
2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.96%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.63%	1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.77% Total : 17.41%