Major League Soccer

Mar 31, 2025 at 12am UK

Providence Park

Portland
3 - 1
Houston

Mora (6', 6'), Antony (23', 23', 71', 71')
Chara (11'), Chara (11'), Mora (34'), Mora (34'), Fory (43'), Fory (43')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Escobar (12', 12')
Steres (31'), Steres (31'), Dorsey (55'), Dorsey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Colorado 0-3 Portland
Sunday, March 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
45.5% ( 0.09)	23.79%	30.7% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.35% (

-0.06)

41.64% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.95% (

-0.05)

64.04% (

0.05)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45% (

0.01)

18.55% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2% (

0.02)

49.79% (

-0.03)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95% (

-0.08)

26.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.91% (

-0.11)

61.08% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 45.5%

Houston Dynamo 30.7%

Draw 23.78%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 45.5%	1-1 @ 10.94% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.7%