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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer

Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Mar 31, 2025 at 12am UK
Providence Park
Houston Dynamo

Portland
3 - 1
Houston

Mora (6', 6'), Antony (23', 23', 71', 71')
Chara (11'), Chara (11'), Mora (34'), Mora (34'), Fory (43'), Fory (43')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Escobar (12', 12')
Steres (31'), Steres (31'), Dorsey (55'), Dorsey (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 0-3 Portland
Sunday, March 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
45.5% (0.086999999999996 0.09)23.79%30.7% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 60.23% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)41.64% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (-0.055 -0.05)64.04% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.55% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)49.79% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)26.04% (0.083000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (-0.113 -0.11)61.08% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 45.5%
    Houston Dynamo 30.7%
    Draw 23.78%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.14% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.86% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.015 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 45.5%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Houston Dynamo
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 3.30am
Portland
2-2
Houston
Mora (37'), Fogaca (76')
Zuparic (67'), Evander (71'), Chara (73'), Williamson (82'), Dorsey (90+5')
Kowalczyk (9'), Carrasquilla (50')
Escobar (27'), Bassi (52'), Herrera (53'), Micael (76'), Raines (90+7')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Houston
1-0
Portland
Ibrahim (43')
Dorsey (52'), Kowalczyk (70'), Artur (80')

Zuparic (57'), Miller (64')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Portland
1-3
Houston
Mora (80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74')
Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Houston
5-0
Portland
Bassi (5' pen.), Quinones (11'), Baird (14'), Escobar (45+3'), Smith (63')
Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4')

Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90')
> Preview
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000
> Full Version


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