Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 2.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Ponce 16' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 24' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 24' yellowcard
  • Jack McGlynn 57' goal
  • Jack McGlynn 57' goal
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Kowalczyk 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard David Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Adam Saldana 61'
  • yellowcard Adam Saldana 61'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 74'
  • yellowcard Eddie Segura 74'

Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 31, 2025 12.00am
Portland 3 - 1 Houston
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Ezequiel Ponce

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 30, 2025 3.30am
San Diego 3 - 2 Los Angeles
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result

Houston Dynamo 46.95% (-0.30)
Draw 23.94% (-0.04)
Los Angeles FC 29.1% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.71% (+0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.78% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 43.22% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 34.38% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 65.62% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 17.81% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 82.2% (-0.28)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5 81.42% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.58% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 50.14% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 49.86% (-0.05)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 72.11% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 27.89% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 36.5% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 63.5% (-0.54)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 46.95%
Draw 23.93%
Los Angeles FC 29.11%
Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 46.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.98% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.93%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.03% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 8, 2024 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Hector Herrera 52' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 52' yellowcard
  • Artur 56' yellowcard
  • Artur 56' yellowcard
  • Micael 85' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 85' yellowcard
  • Micael 85' yellowcard
  • Franco Escobar 85' yellowcard
  • goal 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ilie Sanchez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Ilie Sanchez 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 56'
  • yellowcard Eduard Atuesta 56'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 78'
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 78'
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 3.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Denis Bouanga 36' yellowcard
  • Denis Bouanga 36' yellowcard
  • Sergi Palencia 55' yellowcard
  • Sergi Palencia 55' yellowcard
  • goal Ezequiel Ponce 28'
  • goal Ezequiel Ponce 28'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 33'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 33'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 34'
  • yellowcard Griffin Dorsey 34'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 49'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 49'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 53'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Ponce 53'
  • goal Lawrence Ennali 72'
  • goal Lawrence Ennali 72'
Major League Soccer
Dec 3, 2023 2.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Ryan Hollingshead 44' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 44' goal
  • Franco Escobar 80' goal
  • Franco Escobar 80' goal
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Franco Escobar 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 71'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 71'
Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2023 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • goal Micael 23'
  • goal Micael 23'
Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Nelson Quinones 11' goal
  • Nelson Quinones 11' goal
  • Amine Bassi 50' goal
  • Amine Bassi 50' goal
  • Corey Baird 69' goal
  • Corey Baird 69' goal
  • Franco Escobar 89' goal
  • Franco Escobar 89' goal
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2022 3.30am
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Carlos Vela 8' goal
  • Carlos Vela 45'+4' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 52' goal
  • goal Corey Baird 24'