La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
2 - 1
Almeria

Moreno (45+5'), Sorloth (90+4')
Capoue (26'), Pino (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Akieme (44')
Embarba (53'), Chumi (84'), Puigmal (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cadiz 3-1 Villarreal
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Celta Vigo
Friday, September 1 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria

There are likely to be a lot of nerves in the Villarreal camp heading into this match, but it is a kind fixture for the Yellow Submarine against a side below them in the table. We are expecting this game to be tight in terms of the scoreline but are backing Villarreal to navigate their way to an important win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Almeria
51.13% ( -0.08)	22.54% ( -0.1)	26.33% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 61.37% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.29% (

0.62)

38.71% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.99% (

0.65)

61.01% (

-0.65)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.67% (

0.2)

15.33% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.93% (

0.37)

44.07% (

-0.37)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

0.46)

27.52% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

0.59)

63.03% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 51.13%

Almeria 26.33%

Draw 22.53%

Villarreal	Draw	Almeria
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.9% Total : 51.13%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 26.33%