Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
We said: Swansea City 1-1 Millwall
Both sides will head into the final day with plenty of confidence thanks to their recent improvements, and the desire to end on a win and wrap up 13th spot, and we cannot quite pick a winner as a result, instead opting for a low-scoring draw between two in-form teams.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 52.26% . A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 22.53% .
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.45%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%) , while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.54%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood .
Result Swansea City Draw Millwall 52.26% ( -1.02) 25.2% ( 0.32) 22.53% ( 0.7)
Both teams to score 48.58% ( -0.06)
46.34% ( -0.52) 53.66% ( 0.52)
24.84% ( -0.44) 75.15% ( 0.44)
79.46% ( -0.62) 20.54% ( 0.62)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.95% ( -0.99) 53.04% ( 0.99)
61.14% ( 0.4) 38.86% ( -0.4)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.41% ( 0.38) 75.59% ( -0.38)
Swansea City 52.26%
Millwall 22.53%
Draw 25.2%
Swansea City Draw Millwall 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 52.26% 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.2% 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.48% Total : 22.53%
How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall
17
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-15 21:56:09
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