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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
34.6% ( -0.26) | 25.08% ( -0) | 40.32% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 57.19% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.74% ( -0.02) | 46.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.44% ( -0.02) | 68.55% ( 0.02) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% ( -0.16) | 25.9% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.11% ( -0.22) | 60.89% ( 0.22) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.18% ( 0.12) | 22.81% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.47% ( 0.18) | 56.53% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.38% Total : 34.6% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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