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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 1.59am UK
CityPark
Inter Miami

St Louis City
3 - 0
Inter Miami

Adeniran (28'), Parker (40'), Lowen (80')
Yaro (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cremaschi (70'), Miller (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 St Louis City
Thursday, July 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: St Louis City 2-0 Inter Miami

As Inter have conceded 15 goals in their last seven league matches, their second away win of the MLS season is surely not on the agenda this weekend. St Louis have won seven of their 11 games at home this season, and we expect them to be too strong for Miami here.

How to watch

You can watch St Louis City vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawInter Miami
47.73% (2.06 2.06) 24.24% (-0.782 -0.78) 28.03% (-1.276 -1.28)
Both teams to score 56.92% (1.728 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.76% (2.667 2.67)45.24% (-2.665 -2.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42% (2.506 2.51)67.58% (-2.502 -2.5)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (1.952 1.95)19.06% (-1.949 -1.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.35% (3.136 3.14)50.65% (-3.134 -3.13)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.32% (0.452 0.45)29.68% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.27% (0.542 0.54)65.73% (-0.539 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 47.74%
    Inter Miami 28.03%
    Draw 24.24%
St Louis CityDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.197 0.2)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.498 -0.5)
2-0 @ 7.77% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.409 0.41)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.287 0.29)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.284 0.28)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.287 0.29)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.217 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.189 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.673 -0.67)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 6.92% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.722 -0.72)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.382 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 28.03%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Inter Miami

St Louis City
89.5%
Draw
5.3%
Inter Miami
5.3%
19
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7DC United113531617-114
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
9New York City FCNY City114251112-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy115422117419
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
5Colorado RapidsColorado115331815318
6Austin FCAustin114431413116
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
12Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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