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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
0 - 1
Norwich


Nelson (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nunez (73')
Doyle (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 QPR
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
45.82% (0.524 0.52)25.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)28.91% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 54.1% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.196 -0.2)49.22% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.179 -0.18)71.28% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51% (0.152 0.15)21.49% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.47% (0.235 0.23)54.53% (-0.234 -0.23)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)31.09% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)67.41% (0.551 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 45.81%
    Norwich City 28.91%
    Draw 25.28%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.81%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
68.5%
Draw
16.9%
Norwich City
14.6%
89
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
4-2
Luton
Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
rhs 2.0


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