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Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Inter Miami
6 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Rojas (48', 62'), Messi (50'), Suarez (68', 75', 81')
Aviles (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vanzeir (30'), Forsberg (90+7' pen.)
Tolkin (25'), Duncan (38'), Carmona (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Vancouver
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 4-2 New York Red Bulls

The Red Bulls embarrassed Miami when they squared off in March, and that will likely be in the back of the minds of the Herons when they take the field on Saturday, and we believe that added motivation will power Messi and company to another big victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.55%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.55% (5.172 5.17) 21.72% (-1.955 -1.96) 22.73% (-3.217 -3.22)
Both teams to score 60.1% (3.07 3.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.46% (5.743 5.74)38.53% (-5.743 -5.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.17% (5.823 5.82)60.83% (-5.824 -5.82)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.17% (3.825 3.83)13.83% (-3.826 -3.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.81% (7.082 7.08)41.18% (-7.082 -7.08)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.488 0.49)30.25% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.581 0.58)66.42% (-0.58199999999999 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 55.55%
    New York Red Bulls 22.73%
    Draw 21.72%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.162 0.16)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-1.135 -1.14)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.891 0.89)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.682 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.577 0.58)
4-1 @ 3.19% (0.78 0.78)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.625 0.63)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.486 0.49)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.427 0.43)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.347 0.35)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.55%
1-1 @ 9.9% (-1.205 -1.21)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-1.244 -1.24)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.632 -0.63)
0-1 @ 5% (-1.4 -1.4)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.785 -0.79)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.293 -0.29)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22.73%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY Red Bulls

Inter Miami
89.4%
Draw
6.4%
New York Red Bulls
4.3%
47
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2024 6pm
NY Red Bulls
4-0
Inter Miami
Morgan (3', 51', 70'), Carmona (66')

Krivtsov (11'), Suarez (25'), Allen (84')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Jun 1, 2023 1.15am
Inter Miami
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Miller (70')
Barlow (52')
Duncan (8'), Lesesne (9'), Harper (61'), Reyes (70')
Harper (90+4')
Aug 28, 2022 12am
NY Red Bulls
3-1
Inter Miami
Duncan (36'), Long (42'), Tolkin (80')
Duncan (70')
Mota (34')
Pozuelo (29')
May 22, 2022 11pm
Inter Miami
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Lassiter (29'), Taylor (88')
Gregore (23'), Vassilev (54')

Long (60'), Nealis (81'), Nealis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1594236201631
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321911830
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
4New York City FCNY City147251816223
5Toronto147162120122
6Columbus Crew135621913621
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia134542521417
9DC United144552024-417
10Orlando City134451520-516
11Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
13CF MontrealMontreal133371731-1412
14Chicago Fire142481326-1310
15New England RevolutionNew England12219925-167

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1484227141328
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd127322114724
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
4Austin FCAustin146441917222
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
6Colorado RapidsColorado146352423121
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver135441915419
8Houston DynamoHouston135351213-118
9St Louis City133731920-116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle143561617-114
11Portland TimbersPortland143472629-313
12Dallas123361317-412
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas132562124-311
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1431102233-1110


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