Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 8.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.26%) and 0-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Manchester City |
8.91% | 15.38% | 75.7% |
Both teams to score 47.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.22% | 37.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.97% | 60.03% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.78% | 48.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.61% | 83.38% |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.63% | 8.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.87% | 29.12% |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Manchester City |
1-0 @ 2.94% 2-1 @ 2.66% 2-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.23% Total : 8.91% | 1-1 @ 7.3% 0-0 @ 4.03% 2-2 @ 3.3% Other @ 0.75% Total : 15.38% | 0-2 @ 12.41% 0-3 @ 10.26% 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.06% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-4 @ 6.37% 1-4 @ 4.65% 0-5 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-6 @ 1.31% 1-6 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.29% Total : 75.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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