Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Dec 15, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
4 - 1
Nantes

Doumbia (24'), Chardonnet (27'), Sima (88', 90+3')
Chardonnet (15'), Magnetti (54'), Camara (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Douglas (48')
Castelletto (46'), Pallois (58'), Chirivella (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 1-0 PSV
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Nantes
48.37% ( -0.22)	26.07% ( 0.05)	25.56% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 49.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.53% (

-0.06)

54.47% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.17% (

-0.05)

75.83% (

0.05)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.46% (

-0.12)

22.54% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.88% (

-0.19)

56.12% (

0.19)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46% (

0.12)

36.54% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.67% (

0.12)

73.33% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Brest 48.37%

Nantes 25.56%

Draw 26.07%

Brest	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 48.37%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.56%