Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
37.42% (![]() | 23.67% (![]() | 38.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 62.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.76% (![]() | 39.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.43% (![]() | 61.57% (![]() |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% (![]() | 21.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.98% (![]() | 54.01% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% (![]() | 20.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% (![]() | 52.89% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 8.28% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.42% | 1-1 @ 10.66% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.47% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | ![]() | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | ![]() | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | ![]() | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |