MX23RW : Monday, May 6 20:47:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dundee United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Inverness CT
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Ayr
2 - 2
Dunfermline

McGeady (41'), Musonda (63')
Ahui (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jakubiak (3', 9')
Wighton (62'), Edwards (86')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Raith Rovers 4-4 Ayr
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Arbroath 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
40.31% (-0.595 -0.59) 25.94% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 33.75% (0.629 0.63)
Both teams to score 54.04% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.291 0.29)50.25% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.259 0.26)72.21% (-0.261 -0.26)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (-0.178 -0.18)24.59% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.91% (-0.252 -0.25)59.09% (0.248 0.25)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.542 0.54)28.34% (-0.545 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.681 0.68)64.07% (-0.68300000000001 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 40.31%
    Dunfermline Athletic 33.75%
    Draw 25.94%
Ayr UnitedDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.31%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.75%

How you voted: Ayr vs Dunfermline

Ayr United
28.6%
Draw
35.7%
Dunfermline Athletic
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Dunfermline
0-1
Ayr
Chalmers (10')
Ahui (90+1')
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Dunfermline
2-1
Ayr
Cole (79'), Todorov (86')
O'Hara (37'), Polworth (68'), Pybus (86')
Muirhead (35' pen.)
Muirhead (78')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ayr
1-1
Dunfermline
Martin (17' og.)
McGinty (32'), Dempsey (39'), Murdoch (79')
Donaldson (10')
Chalmers (46'), Pybus (54'), Donaldson (68')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dunfermline
3-0
Ayr
McCann (14', 52'), Dow (40')
McCann (41')

Fjortoft (15')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
3-1
Dunfermline
Adeloye (3', 63'), Salkeld (25')
Murdoch (39'), Albinson (76')
Todorov (28')
Graham (78'), Todorov (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dundee UnitedDundee Utd36229573235075
2Raith Rovers36209758421669
3Partick ThistlePartick36141396354955
4AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians36157144444052
5Greenock MortonMorton36129154346-345
6Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline361112134348-545
7Ayr UnitedAyr36128165361-844
8Queen's ParkQueen's Park361110155056-643
9Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness361012144140142
10Arbroath3665253589-5423


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