Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
45.25% ( -0.85) | 24.53% ( 0.14) | 30.22% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 57.38% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( -0.25) | 45.29% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( -0.24) | 67.63% ( 0.24) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% ( -0.47) | 20.12% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.62% ( -0.75) | 52.38% ( 0.76) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( 0.36) | 28.17% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 0.46) | 63.86% ( -0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.25% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |