Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Everton

Tomiyasu (43'), Havertz (89')
Partey (39'), Rice (68'), Maduro (73'), Havertz (83')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gueye (40')
Tarkowski (50'), Doucoure (54'), Pickford (83')

"We need to go to a different level" - Mikel Arteta sends message after title disappointment

Arsenal head coach Mikel Arteta admits that his side "need to go to a different level" after missing out on this season's Premier League title.

May 19, 19:39

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka pictured on April 28, 2024

Mikel Arteta delivers Bukayo Saka injury update amid Euro 2024 fears

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta reveals whether the muscular injury that Bukayo Saka is nursing could harm his hopes of playing for England at Euro 2024.

May 19, 23:37

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 80.31%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 7.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Everton
80.31% ( -0.25)	12.54% ( 0.12)	7.15% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.28% (

-0.03)

29.72% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.14% (

-0.04)

50.85% (

0.04)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.3% (

-0.06)

5.69% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.99% (

-0.15)

22.01% (

0.14)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.49% (

0.33)

46.51% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.89% (

0.25)

82.11% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 80.3%

Everton 7.15%

Draw 12.54%

Arsenal	Draw	Everton
2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.44% Total : 80.3%	1-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 12.54%	1-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 7.15%