Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Penny Cars Stadium

Airdrieonians
1 - 2
Ayr

McGregor (67')
Watson (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chalmers (21'), Dowds (53')
Senga (71')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Ayr 1-2 Raith Rovers
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Ayr United
40.5% ( -0.22)	25.39% ( 0.05)	34.11% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.26% (

-0.18)

47.74% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.06% (

-0.17)

69.93% (

0.17)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.62% (

-0.19)

23.37% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.64% (

-0.28)

57.35% (

0.28)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1% (

0.01)

26.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79% (

0.01)

62.21% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 40.5%

Ayr United 34.11%

Draw 25.39%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.11%