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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Memorial Playing Fields

Hartley Wintney
3 - 0
Downton

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Hartley Wintney and Downton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartley Wintney

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Downton

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartley Wintney win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Downton had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartley Wintney win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.68%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Downton win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartley Wintney would win this match.

Result
Hartley WintneyDrawDownton
39.75% (0.376 0.38)22.56% (0.208 0.21)37.68% (-0.581 -0.58)
Both teams to score 67.07% (-0.872 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39% (-1.115 -1.12)33.61% (1.117 1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.57% (-1.281 -1.28)55.42% (1.283 1.28)
Hartley Wintney Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)17.65% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.73% (-0.55 -0.55)48.26% (0.552 0.55)
Downton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.742 -0.74)18.55% (0.744 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (-1.267 -1.27)49.8% (1.269 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Hartley Wintney 39.75%
    Downton 37.68%
    Draw 22.56%
Hartley WintneyDrawDownton
2-1 @ 8.3% (0.118 0.12)
1-0 @ 5.68% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.93% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.078 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 39.75%
1-1 @ 9.57% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 2.27% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.65% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 37.68%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Hartley Wintney
rhs 2.0


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