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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Preston Park

Harefield United
1 - 1
Lewes

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Harefield United and Lewes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harefield United

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Last Game: Harefield United 3-0 Sandhurst Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Lewes

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Last Game: Lewes 0-2 Crawley
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lewes win with a probability of 72.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Harefield United had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lewes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for a Harefield United win it was 2-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Harefield UnitedDrawLewes
12.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)15.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)72.45% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.08% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.92%27.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.58% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Harefield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)34.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.62% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.37% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Lewes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.47%6.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Harefield United 12.18%
    Lewes 72.45%
    Draw 15.37%
Harefield UnitedDrawLewes
2-1 @ 3.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.67%
2-0 @ 1.27%
3-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 12.18%
1-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.26%
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.37%
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 8.12%
0-3 @ 7.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-4 @ 5.54%
0-4 @ 5.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 4.3%
1-5 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.94%
0-5 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-5 @ 1.6%
1-6 @ 1.38%
0-6 @ 1.3%
3-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 72.45%

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