Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashford United win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Egham Town had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Egham Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashford United would win this match.
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