Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.