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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 31.47% ( | 22.14% ( | 46.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.8% ( | 33.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.05% ( | 54.95% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( | 21.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.51% ( | 54.49% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( | 14.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( | 43.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 2-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 3.58% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-3 @ 2.23% ( Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 1-3 @ 5.65% ( 2-3 @ 4.35% ( 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 1-4 @ 2.69% ( 2-4 @ 2.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 1-5 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.39% |