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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
PSV

FC Twente
1 - 3
PSV

van Wolfswinkel (1')
Unuvar (24'), Vlap (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Perisic (11'), Til (53'), de Jong (57')
Veerman (32'), Obispo (45+1'), Ledezma (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, April 13 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

Twente have experienced a notable dip in form since that big loss to Feyenoord ahead of the March international break, and a defeat here could see them end the weekend in seventh place if results elsewhere go against them. PSV, meanwhile, will be full of confidence after their commanding victory last week, combined with Ajax losing for the first time since December, and we feel the visitors will pull within six points of the league leaders with a win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
FC TwenteDrawPSV Eindhoven
31.47% (0.038 0.04) 22.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 46.39% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 66.81% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (0.214 0.21)33.2% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (0.245 0.25)54.95% (-0.244 -0.24)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.54% (0.12299999999999 0.12)21.46% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.51% (0.19 0.19)54.49% (-0.188 -0.19)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (0.080999999999989 0.08)14.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.67% (0.157 0.16)43.33% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 31.47%
    PSV Eindhoven 46.39%
    Draw 22.14%
FC TwenteDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 31.47%
1-1 @ 9.38% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.21% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.14%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.35% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.69% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.07% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.39%

How you voted: FC Twente vs PSV

FC Twente
10.4%
Draw
14.6%
PSV Eindhoven
75.0%
48
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
6-1
FC Twente
Lang (20'), Tillman (34'), Saibari (45+2', 54'), Ledezma (63'), Pepi (85')
Steijn (10')
Bruns (60')
Mar 17, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 26
PSV
1-0
FC Twente
Pepi (90+6')
de Jong (33'), Tillman (69')

Boadu (55'), Unnerstall (57'), Regeer (83'), Smal (90+1')
Jan 17, 2024 8pm
Second Round
PSV
3-1
FC Twente
Vertessen (19'), De Jong (55'), Bakayoko (61')
Teze (64')
Ugalde (68')
Propper (58'), Rots (81')
Nov 25, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 13
FC Twente
0-3
PSV

Propper (90+4')
Hilgers (25')
Veerman (45+1'), Propper (49' og.), Bakayoko (82')
Schouten (52'), Bakayoko (80')
Feb 26, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 23
PSV
3-1
FC Twente
Silva (9'), De Jong (57'), Simons (74')
Misidjan (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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