Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Universidad Catolica
43.7% ( 0)	26.02% ( -0)	30.28% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37% (

-0)

51.63% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

-0)

73.42% (

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49%

23.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46%

57.54% (

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.66% (

-0)

31.34% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.3% (

-0)

67.7% (

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 43.69%

Universidad Catolica 30.28%

Draw 26.01%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 10.66% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.69%	1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.55% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.28%