Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Atletico Mineiro

River Plate
0 - 1
Atletico Mineiro


Diaz (77'), Perez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandez (58')
Fernandez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest River Plate win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawAtletico Mineiro
32.06%23.56%44.38%
Both teams to score 61.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07%39.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71%62.29%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62%24.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21%58.79%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68%18.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59%49.41%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 32.06%
    Atletico Mineiro 44.38%
    Draw 23.55%
River PlateDrawAtletico Mineiro
2-1 @ 7.55%
1-0 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 4.45%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.41%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-1 @ 7.58%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 5.14%
0-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 3.63%
1-4 @ 2.18%
0-4 @ 1.54%
2-4 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 44.38%

How you voted: River Plate vs Atletico Mineiro

River Plate
21.2%
Draw
39.4%
Atletico Mineiro
39.4%
33
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!