Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate0 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest River Plate win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 32.06% | 23.56% | 44.38% |
| Both teams to score 61.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
