Atletico Mineiro
3 - 0
River Plate

(Atletico Mineiro win 4-0 on aggregate)

Zaracho (22', 61'), Hulk (34')
Silva (14')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Casco (29'), Zuculini (45+1'), De La Cruz (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	River Plate
53.57%	26.21%	20.22%

Both teams to score 43.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.54%

59.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.17%

79.83%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64%

22.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.15%

55.85%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.4%

44.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.39%

80.61%

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 53.56%

River Plate 20.22%

Draw 26.21%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 14.93% 2-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 4.51% 4-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.56%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 3.65% Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.22%