Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Juventude	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
27.29% ( 0.9)	25.81% ( 0.1)	46.89% ( -1)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.67% (

0.17)

52.33% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.98% (

0.15)

74.03% (

-0.15)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

0.82)

33.96% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

0.88)

70.63% (

-0.87)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0.37)

22.31% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23% (

-0.57)

55.77% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Juventude 27.3%

Atletico Mineiro 46.89%

Draw 25.81%

Juventude	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.3%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.89%