Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 24, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Caracas
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

De Santis (66', 66')
De Santis (22'), De Santis (22'), Manuel Hernandez Chavez (39'), Manuel Hernandez Chavez (39')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Rodriguez (24' og., 24' og.)
Lyanco (11'), Lyanco (11'), Cuello (62'), Cuello (62'), Rubens (84'), Rubens (84'), Hugo (88'), Hugo (88'), Roberto da Silva Campos (90+2'), Roberto da Silva Campos (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Caracas and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

Last Game: Caracas 2-2 Cienciano
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Botafogo
Sunday, April 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.66%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Caracas win it was 1-0 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Caracas	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
19.26% ( -0.03)	26.63% ( -0.09)	54.12% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 40.73% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.25% (

0.25)

61.74% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.45% (

0.18)

81.55% (

-0.18)

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.96% (

0.12)

47.04% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.48% (

0.08)

82.52% (

-0.08)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91% (

0.16)

23.09% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

0.23)

56.94% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Caracas 19.26%

Atletico Mineiro 54.11%

Draw 26.61%

Caracas	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.26%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 15.92% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 54.11%