Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 8, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Caracas
2 - 2
Cienciano

Fabrissio Reinoso Torin (8'), Alexander Rondon Maneiro (90+9')
Fabrissio Reinoso Torin (33'), Heraldez Sevillano (48'), La Mantia (49'), Mago (83'), Natividad Yendis Gomez (90+12'), Jimenez (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garces (41', 66')
Romagnoli (31'), Garces (34'), Amondarain (82'), Ortiz (90+11'), Luis Barrios Hernandez (90+9')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Caracas and Cienciano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

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Last Game: Deportes Iquique 1-2 Caracas
Tuesday, April 1 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Cienciano

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Last Game: Cienciano 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, April 2 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caracas win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cienciano had a probability of 27.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caracas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Cienciano win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
CaracasDrawCienciano
44.92% (-2.345 -2.35)27.72% (0.52 0.52)27.36% (1.828 1.83)
Both teams to score 45.9% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.66% (-0.779 -0.78)59.34% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.27% (-0.605 -0.61)79.73% (0.60600000000001 0.61)
Caracas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-1.512 -1.51)26.34% (1.514 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (-2.063 -2.06)61.48% (2.064 2.06)
Cienciano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32% (1.137 1.14)37.68% (-1.135 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (1.092 1.09)74.46% (-1.09 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Caracas 44.92%
    Cienciano 27.36%
    Draw 27.71%
CaracasDrawCienciano
1-0 @ 13.24% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.521 -0.52)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.416 -0.42)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.277 -0.28)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.203 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.153 -0.15)
Other @ 2%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.288 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.568 0.57)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.295 0.3)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.413 0.41)
1-3 @ 2.05% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.177 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 27.36%