Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
Apr 29, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Regional Willie Davids
Atletico Mineiro

Maringa
2 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

da Silva Barbosa (17'), Vera (51' og.)
Ribeiro Soares (18'), da Silva Barbosa (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rabello (43'), Hulk (70')
Rabello (45+2'), Alonso (76'), Hulk (90')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Maringa and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maringa

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Maringa 4-2 Uniao Carmolandense
Thursday, March 6 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Mirassol 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Maringa had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Maringa win it was 1-0 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
MaringaDrawAtletico Mineiro
19.01% (0.052 0.05)25.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.66% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 43.61% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26% (0.034999999999997 0.03)57.73% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52% (0.027999999999999 0.03)78.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Maringa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.04% (0.082999999999998 0.08)44.95% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.1% (0.065000000000001 0.07)80.9% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)20.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)53.42% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Maringa 19.01%
    Atletico Mineiro 55.66%
    Draw 25.31%
MaringaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.69% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 19.01%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 14.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 11.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 6.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 55.66%