Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Apr 20, 2025 at 6am UK

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FC
3 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Costa (36', 36'), Segecic (55', 55'), Kucharski (83', 83')
Ouahim (45+2'), Ouahim (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Rose (18', 18'), Mizunuma (22', 22')
M'Mombwa (9'), M'Mombwa (9'), Susnjar (73'), Susnjar (73')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 6-0 Central Coast
Saturday, April 12 at 10.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Newcastle Jets
68.84% ( -0.14)	15.78% ( 0.06)	15.37% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 69.36% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.75% (

-0.15)

21.25% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.14% (

-0.2)

39.86% (

0.21)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.22% (

-0.05)

5.78% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.74% (

-0.16)

22.26% (

0.16)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

-0.02)

26.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

-0.03)

61.54% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 68.84%

Newcastle Jets 15.37%

Draw 15.78%

Sydney FC	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 6-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.6% Total : 68.84%	1-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 15.78%	1-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.97% Total : 15.37%