Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 12, 2025 10.35am
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 17' goal
  • Daniel Wilmering 40' yellowcard
  • Trent Sainsbury 45' goal
  • Daniel Wilmering 48' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 50' goal
  • Eli Adams 54' yellowcard
  • Eli Adams 73' goal
  • Eli Adams 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Trent Sainsbury 25'
  • redcard Storm Roux 39'
  • yellowcard Alfie McCalmont 79'

Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 8.00am
Newcastle Jets 1 - 2 Wellington
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 7.00am
Melbourne City 1 - 0 Central Coast
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alou Kuol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result

Newcastle Jets 45.48% (-0.11)
Draw 22.14% (-0.01)
Central Coast Mariners 32.38% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.27% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.22% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 32.78% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 45.53% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 54.47% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 26.76% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 73.24% (-0.07)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 84.9% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 15.09% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 56.36% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 43.64% (+0.03)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 79.24% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 20.76% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 46.6% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 53.4% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 45.48%
Draw 22.14%
Central Coast Mariners 32.38%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.36% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.14%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.43% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 32.38%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Trent Sainsbury 15' yellowcard
  • Nathan Paull 39' goal
  • Abdul Faisal 50' goal
  • Brian Kaltack 70' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 72' yellowcard
  • goal Lachlan Rose 59'
  • goal Mark Natta 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 22, 2024 9.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Callum Timmins 6' yellowcard
  • Thomas Aquilina 64' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 35'
  • goal Brian Kaltack 66'
  • goal Aleksandar Susnjar 75' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2024 8.15am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Dane Ingham 43' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 50' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Wilmering 89' yellowcard
  • goal Alou Kuol 21'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 32'
  • goal Harrison Steele 82'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Mar 2, 2024 7.00am
0
1
HT : 2 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Brandon O'Neill 49' yellowcard
  • Brandon O'Neill 49' yellowcard
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • Phillip Cancar 79' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 79' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 29'
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 29'
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 75'
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 75'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • yellowcard Brad Tapp 79'
  • yellowcard Brad Tapp 79'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 87'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 6.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 62'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2023 8.00am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Jaushua Sotirio 9' goal
  • goal Samuel Silvera 28'
  • goal Samuel Silvera 58'
  • goal Marco Tulio 69'