Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.93%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 45.48% ( | 22.14% ( | 32.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.22% ( | 32.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.53% ( | 54.47% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.9% ( | 15.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.36% ( | 43.64% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( | 20.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( | 53.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 3-2 @ 4.36% ( 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-3 @ 1.08% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 45.48% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-0 @ 3.13% ( 3-3 @ 2.29% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 2-4 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.83% Total : 32.38% |