Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg

May 25, 2024 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
7 - 1
ADO Den Haag

(SBV Excelsior win 9-2 on aggregate)

Parrott (3', 27', 31' pen.), Driouech (40'), Baas (55' pen.), Goudmijn (71'), Lamprou (72')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Veerman (45+2')
van der Sande (16')
van Hintum (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs clash between SBV Excelsior and ADO Den Haag, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

ADO Den Haag

All competitions

Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-2 Excelsior
Wednesday, May 22 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-1 ADO Den Haag

SBV Excelsior are the target to shoot down during these Eredivisie playoffs, but the Kralingers have showing no signs of shrinking under the pressure. ADO Den Haag have an almighty task on their hands after failing to take advantage of home advantage in the first leg, and we feel that their charge for the Eredivisie will end in Rotterdam this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	ADO Den Haag
43.49% ( 0.03)	23.09% ( 0)	33.42% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 64.09% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

-0.02)

37.12% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.68% (

-0.02)

59.31% (

0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

0.01)

17.55% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.9% (

0.01)

48.09% (

-0.01)

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

-0.03)

22.26% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29% (

-0.04)

55.71% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 43.49%

ADO Den Haag 33.42%

Draw 23.08%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 43.49%	1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 33.42%