World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade Omnisport Ahmadou Ahidjo

Cameroon
3 - 1
Libya

Aboubakar (27' pen., 61'), Mbeumo (53')
Wooh (63'), Balepa (66'), Magri (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maryami (90+1')
(51'), Alshiteewi (51'), (65'), Maryami (65'), Ellafi (67'), bin Ali (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CAF World Cup qualifying clash between Cameroon and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cameroon

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Eswatini 0-0 Cameroon
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Libya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 1-1 Angola
Thursday, March 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 71.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Libya had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.81%) and 3-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
Cameroon	Draw	Libya
71.2% ( -2.82)	18.7% ( 1.49)	10.1% ( 1.34)

Both teams to score 41.01% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.93% (

-2.28)

49.07% (

2.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.85% (

-2.1)

71.15% (

2.1)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.5% (

-1.42)

12.5% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5% (

-3.05)

38.5% (

3.05)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.86% (

1.42)

53.13% (

-1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.26% (

0.88)

86.73% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Cameroon 71.19%

Libya 10.1%

Draw 18.7%

Cameroon	Draw	Libya
2-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.73) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.31) 5-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 71.19%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.46% Total : 18.7%	0-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.81% Total : 10.1%