Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 15.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
67.11% ( 1.39)	17.49% ( -0.43)	15.39% ( -0.96)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.99% (

0.12)

30.01% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.8% (

0.14)

51.2% (

-0.15)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.7% (

0.33)

8.3% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.04% (

0.81)

28.96% (

-0.82)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

-1.03)

32.43% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.04% (

-1.18)

68.96% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Barcelona Women 67.11%

Chelsea Women 15.39%

Draw 17.49%

Barcelona Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 2.73% 5-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.15) 5-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.78% Total : 67.11%	1-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.49%	1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.83% Total : 15.39%