Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 15.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.