Women's Champions League
Mar 27, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Sandy Baltimore 14' goal
  • Nathalie Bjorn 38' goal
  • Mayra Ramirez 43' goal
  • Sandy Baltimore 55' yellowcard
  • Keira Walsh 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laia Aleixandri 46'

Chelsea Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 19, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 0 Chelsea

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Mar 19, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 0 Chelsea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result

Chelsea Women 64.97% (+0.07)
Draw 19.25% (+0.05)
Manchester City Women 15.78% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.03% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.05% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 37.95% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 39.79% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 60.21% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 21.97% (-0.43)
Under 4.5 78.03% (+0.43)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5 89.02% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 10.98% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 64.77% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 35.23% (+0.28)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 62.94% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 37.06% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 26.15% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 73.84% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Chelsea Women 64.97%
Draw 19.25%
Manchester City Women 15.78%
Chelsea Women
2-0 @ 9.93% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.99% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 7.31% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 7.26% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 4.04% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 64.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.92% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.07% (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.25%
Manchester City Women
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.04% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 15.78%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Kerolin 32' goal
  • yellowcard Oriane Jean-Francois 33'
  • yellowcard Millie Bright 41'
  • goal Aggie Beever-Jones 49'
  • goal Erin Cuthbert 90'+1'
Women's Champions League
Mar 19, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Moi Stadium
  • Vivianne Miedema 60' goal
  • Kerolin 77' yellowcard
  • Vivianne Miedema 88' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 16, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Nathalie Bjorn 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mayra Ramirez 75' goal
  • Guro Reiten 79' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Greenwood 47'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 16, 2024 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Erin Cuthbert 52' yellowcard
  • Lauren James 84' yellowcard
  • goal Khadija Shaw 14'
  • yellowcard Chloe Kelly 54'
Women's Super League Gameweek 2
Oct 8, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Academy Stadium
  • Chloe Kelly 7' goal
  • Gareth Taylor 12' yellowcard
  • Alex Greenwood 17' yellowcard
  • Alex Greenwood 38' redcard
  • Laia Aleixandri 38' yellowcard
  • Chloe Kelly 39' yellowcard
  • Jill Roord 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lauren Hemp 67' yellowcard
  • Lauren Hemp 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Lauren James 11'
  • yellowcard Niamh Charles 35'
  • goal Guro Reiten 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Jelena Cankovic 90'+8'
Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 26, 2023 12.40pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Filippa Angeldal 21' goal
  • Lauren Hemp 30' goal