Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
64.97% ( 0.07)	19.25% ( 0.05)	15.78% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.05% (

-0.49)

37.95% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.79% (

-0.53)

60.21% (

0.53)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.02% (

-0.13)

10.98% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.77% (

-0.28)

35.23% (

0.27)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.94% (

-0.46)

37.06% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-0.46)

73.84% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 64.97%

Manchester City Women 15.78%

Draw 19.25%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.43% Total : 64.97%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.25%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.22% Total : 15.78%