Women's Super League | Gameweek 13
Feb 2, 2025 at 12pm UK
Academy Stadium

Man City
3 - 4
Arsenal

Fowler (20', 55' pen.), Miedema (50')
Casparij (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Caldentey (1'), Wubben-Moy (8'), Maanum (51'), Blackstenius (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Man City
Saturday, January 25 at 12pm in Women's Super League

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawArsenal Women
41.27% (0.051000000000002 0.05)23.39% (0.053000000000001 0.05)35.33% (-0.105 -0.1)
Both teams to score 63.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-0.284 -0.28)38.1% (0.28299999999999 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-0.306 -0.31)60.37% (0.302 0.3)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)18.88% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63% (-0.164 -0.16)50.36% (0.162 0.16)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.185 -0.19)21.7% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.14% (-0.282 -0.28)54.85% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 41.27%
    Arsenal Women 35.33%
    Draw 23.38%
Manchester City WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.072 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 41.27%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 7.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Man City vs Arsenal

Manchester City Women
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
Arsenal Women
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Arsenal
2-2
Man City
Maanum (8'), Mead (81')
Eidevall (0')
Miedema (42'), Park (58')
Casparij (79'), Greenwood (81'), Park (85'), Hemp (90+3'), Shaw (90+3')
> Match Report
May 5, 2024 2.15pm
Gameweek 21
Man City
1-2
Arsenal
Hemp (17')
Coombs (36'), Ouahabi (74'), Hemp (81')
Blackstenius (89', 90+2')
Lacasse (51')
> Preview
Nov 5, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Arsenal Women
2-1
Man City Women
Catley (14'), Blackstenius (87')
Walti (6'), Lacasse (7'), Pelova (34'), Foord (53'), McCabe (90+9')
Kelly (72')
Hemp (13'), Keating (18'), Ouahabi (35')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 17
Arsenal Women
2-1
Man City Women
Maanum (62'), McCabe (74')
Shaw (5')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 1
Man City Women
2-1
Arsenal Women
Hemp (4'), Kelly (43')
Souza (59')
> Preview