Women's Champions League
Dec 18, 2024 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Johan Cruyff
  • Claudia Pina 44' goal
  • Aitana Bonmati 57' goal
  • Alexia Putellas 69' goal
  • yellowcard Kerstin Casparij 82'

Barcelona Women vs Manchester City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Dec 12, 2024 8.00pm
Hammarby 0 - 3 Barcelona

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Dec 12, 2024 8.00pm
Man City 2 - 0 St Polten

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 3-0 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result

Barcelona Women 74.41% (+0.71)
Draw 13.94% (+0.03)
Manchester City Women 11.64% (-0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.87% (-2.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 79.01% (-2.19)
Under 2.5 20.99% (+2.19)
Over 3.5 60.51% (-3.13)
Under 3.5 39.49% (+3.13)
Over 4.5 41.07% (-3.35)
Under 4.5 58.93% (+3.35)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5 95.14% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 4.86% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 80.44% (-1.12)
Under 1.5 19.56% (+1.12)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5 69.24% (-2.79)
Under 0.5 30.76% (+2.79)
Over 1.5 32.97% (-3.42)
Under 1.5 67.03% (+3.42)

Score analysis

Barcelona Women 74.41%
Draw 13.94%
Manchester City Women 11.64%
Barcelona Women
3-1 @ 8.12% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 8.06% (+0.36)
3-0 @ 6.89% (+0.64)
2-0 @ 6.84% (+0.79)
4-1 @ 6.14% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 5.21% (+0.36)
3-2 @ 4.79% (-0.29)
1-0 @ 4.52% (+0.63)
5-1 @ 3.71% (-0.13)
4-2 @ 3.62% (-0.32)
5-0 @ 3.15% (+0.14)
5-2 @ 2.19% (-0.26)
6-1 @ 1.87% (-0.12)
6-0 @ 1.59% (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.42% (-0.25)
6-2 @ 1.1% (-0.16)
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 74.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.33% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.28)
0-0 @ 1.5% (+0.24)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 13.94%
Manchester City Women
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.22)
0-1 @ 1.76% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 11.64%

Head to Head

Women's Champions League
Oct 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Moi Stadium
  • Laia Aleixandri 15' yellowcard
  • Naomi Layzell 36' goal
  • Khadija Shaw 77' goal
  • yellowcard Maria Pilar Leon 31'
  • yellowcard Caroline Graham Hansen 47'
Women's Champions League
Mar 31, 2021 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Academy Stadium
  • Janine Beckie 20' goal
  • Chloe Kelly 40' yellowcard
  • Samantha Mewis 68' goal
  • yellowcard Andrea Pereira 29'
  • goal Asisat Lamina Oshoala 59'
Women's Champions League
Mar 24, 2021 11.30am
Stadio Comunale Brianteo