Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 3-0 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.