Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 18, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Estadi Johan Cruyff

Barcelona
3 - 0
Man City

Pina (44'), Bonmati (57'), Putellas (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Champions League clash between Barcelona Women and Manchester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona Women

Last Game: Hammarby 0-3 Barcelona
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

Manchester City Women

All competitions

Women's Champions League

Last Game: Everton 2-1 Man City
Sunday, December 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 3-0 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
74.41% ( 0.71)	13.94% ( 0.03)	11.64% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 65.87% (

-2.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.01% (

-2.18)

20.99% (

2.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.51% (

-3.12)

39.49% (

3.12)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.14% (

-0.36)

4.86% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.44% (

-1.12)

19.56% (

1.12)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.24% (

-2.79)

30.76% (

2.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.97% (

-3.41)

67.03% (

3.42)

Score Analysis

Barcelona Women 74.41%

Manchester City Women 11.64%

Draw 13.94%

Barcelona Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.79) 4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.62) 5-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.32) 5-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.14) 5-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.25) 6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.11) 6-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.25) 6-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.16) Other @ 5.18% Total : 74.41%	1-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.94%	1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.64%